How Soon Will COVID-19 Peak? (And How To Tell) ─ minutephysics

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Go to http://aatishb.com/covidtrends to see the interactive graph

RESOURCES
Grant's 3Blue1Brown Video: Exponential Growth and Epidemics: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kas0t...

Aatish's Exponential/Logistic Curve-Fitting Site: https://github.com/aatishb/covid/blob...

Data Source: https://github.com/CSSEGISandData/COV...
Our World in Data Page on Coronavirus: https://ourworldindata.org/coronavirus

How many tests for COVID-19 are being performed around the world? https://ourworldindata.org/covid-testing

Understanding logarithmic scales: https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/20/he...

What we can learn from the countries winning the coronavirus fight: https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-03-2...
(Great explainer on log scales and growth curves explained in the context of COVID-19 in different countries)

This video is a collaboration with Aatish Bhatia about how to see the COVID-19 tipping point - we present a better way to graph COVID-19 coronavirus cases using a logarithmic scale in "phase space" - plotting the growth rate against the cumulative cases, rather than either of these against time.

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Created by Henry Reich